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The reference · physics

The physics, coefficient by coefficient

Goable does not invent new physics — it synthesises peer-reviewed work into a single verdict. This is the index: every coefficient, what it does, and where it comes from.

01Foundational

01.1

Wind classification

Maps wind speed to the Beaufort force every wind sport is scored against.

Beaufort 1805 · WMO 1923
F = (v / 0.836)^⅔
01.2

Solar position ±0.5°

Sun altitude + azimuth → daylight, golden hour and UV windows, accurate to 2050.

Meeus · Spencer 1971 · Iqbal 1983
δ = 23.44° · sin θₙ
01.3

Tide harmonics

Reconstructs tide phase + height from harmonic constants for any coast.

NOAA harmonic constants

02Marine

02.1

Wave energy flux

Power per metre of crest — the marine kernel behind surf, kite, windsurf and sail.

ECMWF · P = ρg²H²T / 64π
P = ρg²H²T / 64π
02.2

Satellite SST fusion

Blends satellite sea-surface temperature into the marine state.

CMEMS
02.3

Swell ancestry

Back-propagates swell trains to their generating storm by group velocity.

Group-velocity back-propagation
02.4

Bathymetry context

Sea-floor depth shapes how swell refracts and breaks at a spot.

GEBCO + spot lookup
02.5

Marine fog

Coastal fog formation → visibility for sailing and diving.

Koračin et al. 2014
02.6

Surf similarity / breakers

Iribarren number — spilling, plunging or surging breakers.

Battjes 1974 · Iribarren
02.7

Breaker height shoaling

How offshore wave height translates to breaker height inshore.

Munk 1949

03Atmospheric

03.1

Sea breeze model

Predicts the thermal breeze that makes or breaks an afternoon session.

Miller et al. 2003
03.2

Atmospheric stability

Turbulence + gust factor from the boundary-layer state.

Pasquill–Gifford + TKE gust factor

04Comfort

04.1

Thermal comfort

Universal Thermal Climate Index — felt temperature, not just air temperature.

UTCI · ISO 17772
04.2

Wet-bulb / WBGT

Heat-stress index for land sports in hot, humid conditions.

Stull 2011 · ISO 7243
T_w · atan(0.151 √RH)

05Cross-domain

05.1

Convective cloud base

Lifting condensation level — the cloud base paragliders read.

Bolton 1980 LCL
z_LCL ≈ 125 (T − T_d)
05.2

Precipitation form

Rain / sleet / snow partition from the vertical temperature profile.

Bourgouin 2000

06Cryosphere

06.1

Fresh-snow density

New-snow density for avalanche + ski-touring assessment.

Hedstrom & Pomeroy 1998 · Anderson

07Hazards

07.1

Lightning proximity

A universal hard gate — forces 'unsafe' regardless of the rest.

Brooks et al. 2003 CAPE + LI
I = ƒ(CAPE, LI, ∇)
07.2

Air-quality gate

EPA AQI breakpoints — a hard gate when air is hazardous.

EPA AQI breakpoint tables
07.3

Rip-current model

Flags rip risk for swimming and surf entry/exit.

MacMahan et al. 2006
07.4

Rockfall freeze–thaw

Freeze–thaw cycling that drives rockfall risk for climbers.

Matsuoka & Sakai 1999

08Health

08.1

UV exposure dose

Erythemal UV dose by skin type — a health advisory, not a gate.

Fitzpatrick 1988 + WHO Global UV

09Engine

09.1

Probabilistic ensemble

30+ NWP members → a score distribution, not a point estimate.

30+ NWP members → distribution
09.2

ML self-calibration

Refits curves against real outcomes once enough have accrued.

Isotonic · GP · Bootstrap logistic
25+ formulas · 14 namespaces · whitepaper · arXiv 2026.Q3